UK Energy Bills Are Set to Fall – But the Risk Isn’t Over
The Energy Price Cap is set to decrease by 7% from July 2025, reducing UK energy bills — but the story doesn’t end there.
UK households are about to see a drop in their energy bills this July, and a reduction in the average gas and electricity bills as the Ofgem price cap falls. That’s good news for now, but it doesn’t mean the crisis is behind us.
The cap will drop to £1,568 per year for a typical dual-fuel household paying by direct debit. But as welcome as that sounds, it doesn’t represent stability, just a temporary shift. The cap is still tied directly to the wholesale market. When wholesale prices drop, the cap falls. But when they surge, so do your bills. And surges can happen quickly, with very little warning.
While July’s cut means costs between July to September will reduce, recent analysis suggests we could be heading back in the wrong direction as early as next year. Many households are still carrying the financial impact of last winter’s higher bills, and for those already on tight margins, short-term relief may not be enough.
Short-Term Drop, Long-Term Risk
A new article from Cornwall Insight highlights the growing concern:
“Market turbulence and price cap reforms could see UK energy bills rise.”
Read the full article from Cornwall Insight — a leading UK consultancy in energy, utilities, and the environment.
They warn that even after the expected summer price drop, the cap may rise again in 2025 or 2026 due to market volatility and structural changes in how the cap is calculated. In short, the cap is no longer just responding to global prices, but also to regulatory reforms and unpredictable supply chain factors.
This adds another layer of risk. The idea that the cap provides long-term insulation is no longer reliable. If international fuel markets tighten, or if supply issues emerge, even briefly, price increases could be sharp and sustained. This affects everything from daily household costs to long-term budgeting and financial planning.
So while your bills may ease a little in the short term, the long-term outlook remains uncertain and potentially expensive. Planning ahead now is more important than ever.
What You Can Do: Take Control Of Your Own Electricity
If you’re tired of riding the rollercoaster of global energy prices and dreading the uncertainty of UK energy bills, solar is the way to go. At UPS Solar, we’re helping customers take control with a limited-time solar and battery package — now with £500 off this month.
The grid is still vulnerable to shocks.
Weather events, geopolitical tension, fuel shortages, all of it feeds back into the price you pay and makes predicting UK energy bills near impossible. Even when the cap falls, it’s just a delay in the next surge. The structure hasn’t changed. The system is still reactive.
With Solar you stop reacting. You generate your own electricity, during daylight hours when usage peaks, and use it to run your home. That means smaller bills, but also independence. You’re not locked into waiting for the next quarterly cap review or news from Ofgem. You’ve got a system that works every time the sun comes up.
Add a battery, and you’re covered when the sun goes down too. It stores any excess energy you’ve generated and lets you use it later, evenings, overnight, or during peak-time tariff hours. The grid becomes your backup, not your main supply.
Our offer this month for a full system includes: 8 panels, battery, install, monitoring, all certifications, and warranties with £500 off the total. No upfront payment. No deposit. You only pay once we’ve installed.
We start with a remote assessment using tools like Google Earth and dedicated solar design software. From there, we build a tailored proposal for your roof, showing how many panels fit, how much they’ll generate, estimated savings, payback year, and the difference with and without a battery. It’s interactive, so you can add options like EV charging or monitoring upgrades and see the impact in real time.
The July cap drop may offer a short break, but Cornwall Insight is already warning of more turbulence. If prices rise again in 2025 or 2026, waiting means missing the window. Choosing solar means stepping away from that uncertainty and building a more stable, predictable future for your home.
Here’s exactly what’s included:
This Month’s Offer: Solar + Battery System
8 x High-Performance Solar Panels
Designed for UK conditions, these generate clean energy from your rooftop — significantly reducing your reliance on the grid.
Fox 3.68 kW Hybrid Inverter
Manages energy flow, directs power from your panels to your home, battery, or the grid. Supports battery storage and export functionality.
Fox EP5 Battery (5.2 kWh Storage)
This lithium-ion battery stores excess energy for use at night or during peak times. It’s one of the most cost-efficient ways to reduce your grid use and increase savings.
Was: £7602
Now: £7102 (No Deposit Needed)
Your package includes:
• Free remote survey via Google Earth
• Interactive proposal showing projected savings, ROI and payback period
• System fully installed and tested by our team
• MCS Certification and product warranties
• Recognised installer under RECC, Trading Standards and Fox ESS Elite
• As an Octopus trusted partner and a 4.8 star rated Trust Pilot business, you can feel assured your installation will be handled professionally and to the highest of standards.
You pay nothing upfront — we only take payment once the system is fully installed.
Why This Makes Sense — Even With Prices Dropping
Yes, the price cap is falling. But it’s not permanent, and it’s not predictable. Solar is the sensible choice to counter the rise in UK energy bills.
The cap follows wholesale market movements, and the market is still volatile. Events like conflict, global supply disruption, or infrastructure failure could send wholesale costs soaring again — taking your energy bill with them.
Installing solar with battery storage means you generate and store your own electricity, reducing dependence on the grid and giving you predictable savings, no matter what happens.
Ready to Discuss Your Next Steps?
Click below for your free quote and remote survey.
No obligation, just a clear look at how much you could save.
